Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.139708 2.437616 2.761472 3.139626 3.569046 4.041524 4.600856
2025-09-28 1.633403 2.029360 2.497479 3.091541 3.825371 4.702328 5.830452
2025-10-05 1.464463 1.931457 2.516372 3.302398 4.331128 5.632150 7.403882
2025-10-12 1.278336 1.771035 2.418184 3.329808 4.580967 6.238626 8.604055
2025-10-19 1.167212 1.687602 2.399862 3.445020 4.939659 7.001163 10.064167
2025-10-26 1.036878 1.557890 2.297923 3.424453 5.096101 7.486519 11.169422
2025-11-02 0.931950 1.450375 2.212123 3.411325 5.251931 7.972193 12.304413
2025-11-09 0.831100 1.336442 2.102736 3.347345 5.318503 8.322227 13.255144
2025-11-16 0.769489 1.275746 2.066335 3.388345 5.544208 8.924386 14.636714
2025-11-23 0.715796 1.221457 2.033335 3.428771 5.767987 9.535520 16.076508
2025-11-30 0.658340 1.154711 1.973013 3.416774 5.901334 10.006507 17.318799
2025-12-07 0.599917 1.080292 1.892504 3.361850 5.954680 10.344642 18.358186
2025-12-14 0.546266 1.012856 1.824228 3.333422 6.071741 10.835281 19.770229
2025-12-21 0.493897 0.943011 1.746297 3.282677 6.149175 11.272752 21.148018
2025-12-28 0.486864 0.955569 1.816373 3.506435 6.743334 12.678057 24.412399
2026-01-04 0.454037 0.915365 1.784703 3.535523 6.975216 13.439517 26.541619
2026-01-11 0.435967 0.901768 1.801384 3.657787 7.394624 14.584935 29.507249
2026-01-18 0.402919 0.854551 1.747995 3.635962 7.527515 15.189722 31.462247
2026-01-25 0.374035 0.812779 1.701143 3.622030 7.673339 15.829518 33.541666
2026-02-01 0.342619 0.762353 1.631716 3.554134 7.700370 16.230510 35.161470
2026-02-08 0.324574 0.738870 1.615914 3.597644 7.964810 17.138749 37.928320
2026-02-15 0.307918 0.716709 1.600697 3.640543 8.230934 18.071317 40.828849
2026-02-22 0.288031 0.685194 1.562127 3.627813 8.372733 18.748372 43.225889